Vision 2100 - A Strategy for the Twenty - First Century

Author: General K Sundarji
Publisher: Konark
Year: 2003
Language: English
Pages: 268
ISBN/UPC (if available): 8122006450

Description

General Sundarji had just completed writing Vision 2100: A Strategy for the Twenty-First Century when he passed away in February 1999. The manuscript is being published with minimum editing. This book is his magnum opus, his forward thinking about our security in the decades ahead.

General Krishnaswami Sundarji is well known, globally, as an outstanding strategic thinker whose refreshingly different contributions have helped the evolution of an Indian, if not Asian, strategy perspective in sharp contrast to Western mainstream thinking. In particular, his delineation of the strategic contours of India, especially the nuclear part, has helped to shape official policy.

General Sundarji had just completed writing Vision 2100: A Strategy for the Twenty-First Century when he passed away in February 1999. The manuscript is being published with minimum editing. This book is his magnum opus, his forward thinking about our security in the decades ahead.

The General profiles a future where there would be a lesser need to resort to armed force in conflict resolution and in which a re-organized, strengthened UN would play an effective role in world affairs. He also visualizes a World Court with more teeth in achieving a just world.

Though the manuscript was prepared before the Indian nuclear tests of May 1998, General Sundarji’s views contained therein have contemporary relevance. The compelling logic of No First Use and Minimum Credible Deterrence for India, as refined by him over the years, finds eloquent expression in the book. He has assessed the role and relevance of nuclear weapons in the international system. He has also formulated alternative global scenarios in this context. A seasoned optimist, he foresees the banning of nuclear weapons.

The book is in four parts: world power structures in the 21st century; nuclear strategy; conventional strategy and force structure; and national strategy management. The renowned Dr Raja Ramanna has written a most telling Foreword to the book.

His wife Vani Sundarji’s Preface gives touching vignettes of General Sundarji, the man and his style.

The doyen of strategic analysts in India, Shri K Subrahmanyam has, in his Introduction, given a pen picture containing the evolution of Sundarji’s thinking, his lasting contributions and its relevance today.

The book would be a valuable addition, from India, to strategic analysts, decision makers, research scholars and thinkers around the world who are concerned with strategy for the 21 century.

Contents

Foreword

Preface

Introduction

Acronyms

List of Tables

List of Figures

PART I: WORLD POWER STRUCTURE IN THE TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY

CHAPTER I
THE TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY: A FUTURISTIC VIEW

Evolution of World Power
Theories of the New World Order
The Knowledge-Based World
Strategy for the Twenty-First Century: World’s Approach
Vision of the World 2100
End Notes

CHAPTER 2
TRANSITION TO A KNOWLEDGE-BASED WORLD

The Nineteen Nineties
The Early 2000s
South Asian Security Scenario
External Threats to India
Conventional External Threats
Information Warfare
Internal Threats to India
End Notes

PART II: A NUCLEAR STRATEGY FOR INDIA

CHAPTER 3
India’s Nuclear Policy
End Notes

CHAPTER 4
Nuclear Targets and Effects of Weapons
End Notes

CHAPTER 5
Delivery Systems
End Notes

CHAPTER 6
Command, Control, Communications and Intelligence
End Notes

CHAPTER 7
Nuclear Weapon Technology
End Notes

CHAPTER 8
Deterrence Philosophies
End Notes

CHAPTER 9
Nuclear Targeting Philosophy

CHAPTER 10
Anylysis and Recommendations
Conventional Defence in Nuclear Asymmetry
Chemical or Biological Capability as a Counter to Nuclear Threat
Security Guarantees or Nuclear Umbrella
Phase 1
Phase 2
Phase 3
Effective Minimum Deterrence
Costs of Minimum Deterrence
End Notes

CHAPTER 11
Wargaming a Threat of war
Indo-Pak Scenario
The Situation
Pakistan’s Options
End Notes

PART III: CONVENTIONAL STRATEGY AND FORCE STRUCTURE

CHAPTER 12
Conventional Deterrence Strategies
Global Powers
Regional Powers: China
End Notes

PART IV: NATIONAL STRATEGY MANAGEMENT

CHAPTER 13
INTERNAL AND EXTERNAL STRATEGIES

Need for Change
Resistance to Change
Security Strategy Management
Defence Strategy Management
End Notes

CHAPTER 14: STRUCTURES AT THE APEX

Structure for the Co-ordination of National Policy
National Command Authority
National Command Post

APPENDIX A
Effects of Nuclear Explosions and Methodology of Damage Calculations

APPENDIX B
Wargaming Using the Quantified Judgement Model and Method (QJM)

APPENDIX C
Wargaming Indo-Pak war in a Situation of Nuclear Weapon Asymmetry

APPENDIX D
Treaty between Tibet and Ladakh-1842

Bibliography

Index